Showing posts with label preview. Show all posts
Showing posts with label preview. Show all posts

Wednesday, 18 September 2013

Valencia v Swansea - Match preview, team news, statistics & analysis

The Match


Valencia are currently enduring a very sticky start to their league campaign. Three losses out of four means that, much like Swans fans were hoping for a positive EL result against Petrolul to help boost the squad's confidence, they'll be looking to put on a show against a side most Spanish fans would expect them to beat. With the squad hovering just above the La Liga relegation zone they'll be hoping for a win which would provide some much needed confidence ahead of their next league match - against Villareal on Sunday.

Swansea, on the other hand, will have drawn a lot of confidence from the Liverpool game and any nagging doubts about how we'll be able to compete against top teams seem to have been negated for now. They showed enough in both attack and defence to suggest we can trouble any side on our day, and with Valencia low on both form and confidence, plus having the tags of "clear favourites", it's likely the Swans will be able to play with more confidence and freedom than their hosts, who will have a huge weight of expectation placed on them by the home crowd.


Prior Form (Most recent at top)













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Team News


Valencia are, if the internet is to be believed, able to pick from a fully fit squad. Alright for some!

Swansea will be without Pablo Hernandez, who will no doubt be miffed to miss out on the chance to run out against a club he spent eight years at over two separate spells. The winger picked up a hamstring injury which looks set to keep him out until after the Palace game. Neil Taylor is still suffering with a bruised thigh, while I've heard rumours Jose Canas may be unavailable. Nathan Dyer was withdrawn at half time against Liverpool but it's unclear whether that was injury-related or purely tactical. Leon Britton is suspended due to his red card in the last round at Petrolul.


Completely guessed lineups






















Sadly the lack of a squad predictor thingy means there'll be no pretty graphics for Europa League predicted lineups...

Statistics & Trivia

  • Valencia actually made it to the First Knockout Round of last season's Champions League before being beaten by Paris Saint-Germain, but qualified for this season's EL after finishing 5th in La Liga.
  • This will be the first ever match between the two sides, and also the Swans' first against Spanish opposition.
  • In the 93/94 season, Laudrup's Barcelona won the league courtesy of Valencia coach Miroslav Djukic's penalty miss in the last minute of Deportivo La Coruna's last game that year. 
  • Djukic previously spent six years at Valencia as a sweeper, winning La Liga and reaching two Champions League finals during his time at the club.
  • Swansea haven't won away in Europe since the 82/83 season, when we beat Maltese opponents Silema Wanderers. 
  • In matches between Spanish and Welsh opposition, the Spaniards have so far come out on top with 4 wins, 3 draws and only one loss (Real Madrid lost 1-0 to Cardiff in the 70/71 Cup Winners Cup, but overturned the deficit in the second leg). 
  • Swansea have won just two of their last 14 away games.

Straight from the horse's mouth


Speaking after the Liverpool game, Michael Laudrup ramped up the pressure on Valencia:

“All of the pressure is on Valencia. They have not had a good start to the season and they have a tough game against Sevilla coming up at the weekend. Their crowd are not like our fans - It’s like the theatre over there. They come in to the stadium, sit down and, if the team play well, they applaud, but if the team do not play well, they boo. 
“Valencia have been one of the top clubs in Spain for a number of years and the fans will feel they are nearly the same as Real Madrid or Barcelona — they are used to playing in the Champions League, but now they play Swansea in the Europa League, so there is a lot of pressure on them. We have to try to take advantage of that. 
"They are the favourites. They are the top seeds in the group, but we will go there and try to play our game. We have had a tough start to the season and a game against Valencia is another difficult one for us, but we can come through this.” Michael Laudrup  

Valencia midfielder Andres Guardado acknowledged recent performances haven't been up to scratch:

"We need to get our act together and come out with attitude. The most important thing right now is to win the next match against Swansea." Andrew Guardado


Speaking to Skysports News, Swansea's adopted son Angel Rangel is looking forward to showing Spain what the Swans are all about:

"It's always great to go back. Hopefully we will be able to show a big side like Valencia and the whole of Spain how good we are as a team. 
"It's one of those games where we know we aren't the favourites and away from home it's a difficult game, but we're looking forward to it. We know that the Mestalla is a tough place to go and we know that Spanish style of football is always to try and play the ball, combined with attacking intent. We know we will find that on Thursday night. 
"Valencia like to press high, they don't give much time to the opposition to play the ball, and they are an opponent that will be a difficult game. We have to be at our best, but we're really excited and we know that with the draw we got with Liverpool on Monday we can be confident on Thursday and try to do a good job again." Angel Rangel   
http://www1.skysports.com/football/news/11731/8928000? 

Last time out


I thought I'd put in some highlights of Valencia's last match, against Real Betis. Bearing in mind Betis lost Jose Canas and his midfield partner Benat over the close season, it doesn't seem to have affected them too much as they, if highlights are to be believed, walked all over Valencia. Let's hope we get a similar performance from Los Murcielagos, as they really didn't look up to much judging by this video...




Analysis


I'll be honest, while I know a bit more about Valencia than I did about either of our previous EL opponents, it would very much be a creative writing exercise if I embarked on an in-depth tactical preview, but what do we know?

After a poor start to the season, there really will be a lot of expectation on the home team, and that's liable to influence how the play. Normally in a game like this you'd expect a Spanish team on home soil to look to retain possession and "suss us out" before prying for openings, but with a crowd baying for an upturn in form they'll likely fly out of the blocks and look to press us high up the field.

Laudrup will be more than aware of this, and it's probable we're going to look to keep things tight early on and try to hit Valencia with fast counter-attacks. Up front for Valencia we'll have Helder Postiga to deal with - I'd be lying if I said that worried me massively as, despite occasionally impressing, I've never really seen much in the ex-Spurs striker.

The only other player I know anything about is Ever Banega, who'll captain the side. I have a soft spot for him after signing him as a 16 year old on "Championship Manager" back in the day, and have kept an eye on his career since. He's developed more or less as the computer game predicted, in fairness, and is a tasty defensive midfielder who has a very good first touch, as well as a predilection for a big tackle. He is Argentinian, so you'd expect that, but what you wouldn't expect is he spent a large spell on the sidelines after being run over by his own car after failing to put the handbrake on at a petrol station. He'd only just returned from a knee injury, and that incident saw him miss the remainder of the season. He is a current Argentinian international though, so despite any foolhardy injuries it'd be unwise to take him too lightly.

As for the rest of the team, I probably know as much as you do so it's pointless hypothesising too much. I honestly fancy us to get a result here though, as Valencia have a massive amount of pressure on them. If we can keep them out for 20 minutes then, as Laudrup hinted at, the catcalls from the stands will start and we should start to see things unravel at the seams, which should lead to more opportunities for the Swans attacking players.

I'm going to predict a score draw, but in all honesty I am quite confident about this for no reason in particular. Swansea's first away win in Europe in 31 years? Go on then...

What're your predictions? Get involved in the comment section below or by clicking the link to the forum at the top of the site!


Sunday, 15 September 2013

Swansea v Liverpool - Match preview, team news, statistics & analysis













The Match


Swansea will be hoping to build on a good showing at West Brom with their first league win of the season, against a much fancied Liverpool side. They've shown enough in their early-season encounters so that fans will be hopeful of a result against Brendan Rodgers' men, and with the majority of the squad not having featured in midweek internationals the squad should be refreshed and chomping at the bit to get back on the field, so expect a high-octane performance.

Liverpool are starting to look like they understand what Brendan Rodgers wants from his side, and if they avoid defeat against the Swans they'll go back to the top of the Premier League, so they've got serious motivation heading into this one. With Daniel Sturridge finding top form and Luis Suarez soon to return to the side it's likely they're going to enjoy a very successful season, and if they can add a few goals to the mix (they've won all three PL games so far 1-0) they'll be a very dangerous outfit indeed.



Prior Form (Most recent at top)


Premier League          West Brom            0 - 2   Swansea
Europa League            Petrolul Ploiesti     2 - 1   Swansea
Premier League          Tottenham             1 - 0   Swansea
Europa League            Swansea              5 - 1   Petrolul Ploiesti
Premier League          Swansea              1 - 4   Manchester United

Premier League           Liverpool             1 - 0    Man Utd
League Cup                  Liverpool             4 - 2    Notts County
Premier League           Aston Villa            0 - 1     Liverpool
Premier League           Liverpool             1 - 0     Stoke
Friendly                        Celtic                    1 - 0     Liverpool


Team News - Provided by Physioroom.com's Ben Dinnery



Swansea have been boosted by the news that new-signing Jonjo Shelvey will be available for the visit of Liverpool, the £5 million man has recovered from the knee problem which forced his withdrawal from the recent U21 Internationals. Michael Laudrup will also welcome back Nathan Dyer, the midfielder having missed the previous two games with a hamstring injury. However one player who won’t play any part is full-back Neil Taylor, the defender is not expected back for a couple of weeks after suffering complications following a dead leg. 

One of the biggest talking points of this weekend is the availability of Liverpool striker Daniel Sturridge, the England forward missed both of ‘The Three Lions’ World Cup Qualifiers due an on-going thigh problem and is currently considered a doubt for Monday Night Football. Sturridge, in a rich vein of goal-scoring form and recent winner of the Barclays Player of the Month Award may just benefit from the extra days rest to force himself into Rodgers plans. The Liverpool manager will also need to make a decision on whether to include Kolo Toure for the trip to Swansea. The central defender picked up a groin injury on Capital One duty but has now recovered and will be pushing for a return after impressing in his opening two Premier League games. Martin Skrtel could be the unfortunate man to make way despite a solid performance at Old Trafford. 

Full-back Glen Johnson will miss out however having picked up a nasty ankle injury in the goal-less draw at Manchester United and new signing Aly Cissokho is another definite absentee. The French defender lasted only 9 minutes of his full-debut before an ankle ligament injury ended his day. Initial reports suggest around 5 weeks for the pair with a return possible for the Newcastle game in October. Welshman Joe Allen will be included in the Liverpool match-day squad having recovered from a slight hamstring problem.


Completely guessed lineups




























Statistics & Trivia


  • Liverpool are one win away from their 400th in the Premier League.
  • Liverpool have never won and kept clean sheets in their first three top-flight games, while they've never won their first four Premier League games, which they'd achieve by beating the Swans.
  • Swansea's last home win came back in March against Newcastle in the wake of the League Cup win.
  • Jose Canas is second only to Yaya Toure so far this season in terms of passes attempted (235 & 267 respectively).
  • With 33 clearances, Chico has made the joint most in the league.
  • Daniel Sturridge has scored 11 goals in his last 9 games for Liverpool.
  • Along with Robbie Fowler, Sturridge is the only other Liverpool player to score in the first three matches of a PL season.
  • Liverpool have kept clean sheets in six of their last seven league matches.

Straight from the horse's mouth





Analysis


Coming into this game I'm less confident than I was ahead of the Spurs and Manchester United games. Despite a quality showing at West Brom, we need to "revert to type" to a point and look to retain possession and build from the back. Once we've got the team playing fluidly, the chances will come and it's important for the team to acknowledge how much our continued top-flight status owes to our possession game.

Even though West Brom looked a shadow of the team of last year, we showed enough to believe that those elusive wins are just around the corner, and that continued belief in Laudrup's footballing philosophy is well-founded. We finished the game having had 58% of the possession, and it's no surprise that our first win in a while coincided with our best showing in terms of ball retention so far. While we have an increasingly talented crop of players at our disposal everything we've achieved so far has been based around our team game, and I feel we've gone away from that somewhat to a game which relies more on individual skill and less on keeping play ticking over by retaining possession at the back.

For their part, Liverpool have, of late, been doing exactly what I've just spent two paragraphs banging on about. Buck has got them playing how he wants, and it'll be interesting to see how Luis Suarez fits in when he eventually returns from his suspension. They've been playing solidly and in Simon Mignolet they've got a quality keeper who'll help keep a lot of clean sheets this season. At the back Glen Johnson is out so the Swans will no doubt look to get at Andre Wisdom early on, and see what the youngster's made of. Bony will have some formidable defenders to get past - Rodgers could pick from Skrtel, Agger, Sakho or Toure. With defensive options like that to choose from whoever we pick up top will have a tough time getting past the Liverpool defence.

In midfield it's really hard to say who Laudrup will pick in the "anchor" position. I can't see him dropping Jonjo Shelvey, and with Michu and Bony surely starting that leaves just one central midfield position to play for. I'd hope it's Leon Britton that wins that particular race, but with Canas impressing from the off its more than possible he'll get the nod. With Sturridge expected to lead the line for Liverpool with one-time Swansea target Aspas and Coutinho supporting him, the Swans' defence will have to be on their guard from the word go, otherwise we will be punished. Fix up, look sharp, as it were. 

While I do have confidence in the team, especially so given the performances thus far of our new signings, I'm not confident of a win here. I think a realistic result would be a one-all draw, and I think that's a result Laudrup would be happy with. It'll be an interesting clash of football styles, and an opportunity to assess how far we've drifted from Brendan's style of football. 

Jonjo Shelvey to score the winner from 35 yards? Hmm...

To listen to a podcast preview of the game featuring myself and Max Munton of ThisIsAnfield, click here:

http://www.theswanseaway.co.uk/2013/09/podcast-swansea-v-liverpool-match.html

Friday, 15 March 2013

Swansea v Arsenal match preview, team news, analysis & more...



                         

     Swansea City vs Arsenal
Barclays Premier League
Saturday 16/03/13
15:00pm K.O.
The Liberty Stadium
Referee: Jon Moss




The Match


Swansea come into the game possibly still licking their wounds after being robbed of a point last time out at the Hawthorns. Swansea are currently seven points clear of Fulham in 10th place, and will be looking to maintain that gap with victory this weekend. Swansea's form over the last few months has been a bit up and down, and they'll be looking to put together a string of results as the season draws to a close.

Michu and co celebrate at the Emirates Stadium

Arsenal travel to South Wales in desparate need of a win. This will be their third away game in a row (after three home games on the trot) and a loss could see them fall eight points behind of Spurs & Chelsea in the race for a Champions League spot, so they'll be fired up this one. Having departed from the Champions League in Munich on Wednesday, they've now only the Premier League to focus on and they'll no doubt be hoping this match will be a turning point as they look to close the gap on their London rivals.



Prior Form


Premier League                West Brom     2-1  Swansea
Premier League                Swansea       1-0  Newcastle
League Cup Final               Bradford        0-5  Swansea
Premier League                  Liverpool       5-0  Swansea
Premier League                Swansea       4-1   QPR                            


Champions League Bayern 0-2 Arsenal (Bayern go through on away goals)
Premier League Tottenham 2-1 Arsenal
Premier League Arsenal         2-1  Aston Villa                 
Premier League Arsenal         1-3  Bayern              
FA Cup                              Arsenal         0-1  Blackburn              




Odds: Swansea 12-5, Draw 11-5, Arsenal 23-20



Team News


Leon Britton faces a late fitness test

Swansea will give a late fitness test to Leon Britton after he missed the West Brom game with a hip injury, while Chico Flores remains out. Neil Taylor started for the u-21 side but is still some way off a first team return, and Luke Moore has been carrying a calf injury picked up at the Hawthorns but should be fit for inclusion, and after scoring in his last two games he'll want to be able to throw his name into the hat.

Arsenal will be without Lukas Podolski & Bacary Sagna after Wenger confirmed they wouldn't be available in time for their trip over the Severn Bridge. Jack Wilshire, too, remains out, and only Monreal will return after being ineligible to play in the Munich game on Wednesday. Keiran Gibbs, too, looks likely to miss out as Wenger stated he'd aggravated a thigh injury in the 2-0 win. 



Trivia - "Courtesy" of Opta, the BBC and various other sites;




  • Swansea are unbeaten in 5 league matches at home, winning the last three, while Arsenal have lost 2 of their last 3 league away matches.
  • This will be the fourth match between Arsenal and Swansea this season, with the record currently standing at W1 D1 L1. 
  • Six of the seven goals in matches between Arsenal and Swansea this season have come in the last 10 minutes. 
  • Of Swansea's four goals against Arsenal this year, Michu has bagged three of them.  
  • Swansea have conceded a higher proportion of goals from set pieces than any other team in the PL this season - remarkably half of all the goals they have conceded. . 
  • A Swansea win will be the first time the Swans have won four home games in a row in the Premier League. 
  • Arsenal have the highest average possession in the Premier League this season - 58.5%. Swansea are sixth, with 55.6%).
  • Ki-Seung Young has had more shots without scoring than any other Premier League player this season (36). 
  • Since New Year, Swansea have picked up 12 points, and Arsenal 14. Worryingly, QPR have picked up 13. 
  • Ashley Williams has made 40 blocks this season, the most in the league, and only 26 fewer than Arsenal have in total. 
  • Swansea have conceded six goals from indirect free-kicks - more than any other side. 


Completely guessed lineups


Swansea City

 Vorm

Rangel        Monk (C)         Williams         Davies

Britton         Ki S-Y

Lamah                 De Guzman             Routledge

  Michu

   Giroud

Cazorla                  Rosicky              Walcott

Ramsey             Arteta

Monreal            Mertesacker      Vermaelen(C)    Jenkinson

     Szczesny

   Arsenal

Straight from the "horse's mouth";


Arsene Wenger: "We have to keep the positives and be inspired for the rest of the season by this positive result and for us, every game is a cup final now. We were not happy [after Bayern], but we felt we did our job by winning the game. We are more frustrated because we are out of the competition, but we have to keep the positives and be inspired for the rest of the season by this positive result. 
Wenger has to figure out a way to
close the gap on their London rivals.
"We need to increase the belief of the team and that will produce more consistency. Ten games is a long way to go and it is down to consistency. I think the away games will have a final part in our final position of the season. Tomorrow is a big away game so it is important we prepare well for it. 
"He [Michael Laudrup] is a contender (for Manager of the Year) because his team has played well, they have been remarkably consistent and plays good football. It was a difficult act to follow Brendan Rodgers, who was successful there. 
"There was a big question mark about him when he arrived because Swansea did well last season. They have continued their progress and he has brought some good players in as well. They play good football. First of all he has a big experience as a manager in Spain and he has experience of international level because he played in many countries. The other advantage he had was he knew Spanish players because he worked there."

Michael Laudrup: "They came out of the [Bayern Munich] game better than when they went into it. They have won away against a very good side but they are still five points away from fourth place. They will try and maintain the confidence from Wednesday night, but Saturday is a very important game for them with only eight games left after this weekend.”
“They have some top quality players - Jack Wilshere and Cazorla are the two main players in their team, but with Wilshere not playing he will be the one to watch. I’ve always said that if you can stop the players who give the ball to the forwards and create the chances, then you’ve always got a chance, but we have had some good games against them this season, and I hope Saturday will be the same.” 
“He (Wenger) has been there 17 years now, and what he has achieved there is great. But if the fans want trophies then eight years is of course a long time. He has been there for so long because people have been pleased with what he has done, and I think we will still see Arsene Wenger on the Arsenal bench next season.” 


Analysis



Both sides will be looking at this match as one from which then can recover maximum points. Arsenal, as mentioned, need a win to guarantee they don't fall further behind Chelsea and Spurs in the race for a Champions League spot, while Swansea are looking to improve upon last season's points tally as they hope to push further up the table into previously uncharted territory, with European football already secured for the coming year.

Swansea will look to build on recent good form at home, though the number of goals conceded at the Liberty this season needs to be addressed. With Chico Flores out, it's likely Monk will have to deal with the nimble-footed Arsenal attack and his positioning will have to be spot on throughout the game if the Swans are to keep a clean sheet. Last time out at the Liberty Walcott was well marshalled and Ben Davies will no doubt be charged with, essentially, stopping Walcott getting anywhere near Monk - such will be the mismatch in pace. Wilshire being out is a real bonus for the Swans, as the FA Cup replay where the Swans went down 1-0 was, from memory, all about the Arsenal youth product. The midfielder is a class above anything else Arsenal have in my opinion, and the Swans midfield should be able to retain possession more effectively without having to worry about him tearing around in pursuit of the ball.

Arsenal's problem, or so it's been claimed this season, is that they play with an arrogance their results don't back up. Now, I think that's harsh as to be a top footballing team you need  a certain arrogance, however there have been occasions where I've watched Arsenal play and come away thinking that the players didn't really work as hard as I'd expect from a team at the top end of the Premier League, and the loss of Wilshire will only exacerbate that. It's possibly Wenger will go with Diaby in place of Rosicky as he looks to hassle and harangue the Swansea midfield, and if he does I'd say that Arsenal would stand more of a chance of coming away with points. 

Swansea's attacking players will no doubt fancy their chances against Carl Jenkinson and Nacho Monreal, who, while they've both been impressive, aren't names that will instill fear in any of the Swansea boys. I don't think we'll see Laudrup go with the "three winger" formation however, so it's likely to be a straight match up between whoever starts out wide and the Arsenal fullbacks. Jenkinson in particular has been impressive this season, and actually exited the Champions League with a 100% tackle completion rate - that truly is remarkable. 

Up top Michu will look to carry on his good form against the Gunners, and will be looking to add to the three goals he's already bagged against them this season. His ambling style has seemed to frustrate the Arsenal defenders this year and they've struggled to pick him up as he drops deep before drifting forward. It'll be important for whoever is picked out wide for the Swans to get close to Michu and run off him, so that he's not plowing a lone furrow. Vermaelen and Mertesacker are both impressive defenders but, more importantly, both of them are massive and Michu is unlikely to get any joy in the air all afternoon. Swansea's wingers need to get close to the Spaniard before running off him at speed, creating half a yard for the former Oviedo man, which, let's be honest, is all he's needed this season.

All in all, I can't see either team keeping a clean sheet here. I think contained within the two teams there's too much desire to get forward for this to end 0-0, however I think a draw is likely. It very much depends on how many defensive midfielders both managers decide to play, however I think the settled nature of the Swans midfield may just edge this one. That being said, I'm still loathe to predict a Swans win so I'll say this one will be 2-2. I said that before the WBA game, and I still think I was right. It's not my fault the officials disallowed a perfectly good goal...

Iechyd Da.